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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3NTH7EE
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2017/05.19.18.38
Última Atualização2017:05.19.18.38.24 (UTC) administrator
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2017/05.19.18.38.24
Última Atualização dos Metadados2018:06.04.02.27.28 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1002/2016JA023853
ISSN2169-9402
Chave de CitaçãoBalanESSBRONF:2017:ScFoSe
TítuloA scheme for forecasting severe space weather
Ano2017
MêsMar.
Data de Acesso08 maio 2024
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho1641 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Balan, N.
2 Ebihara, Y.
3 Skoug, R.
4 Shiokawa, K.
5 Batista, Inez Staciarini
6 Ram, S. Tulasi
7 Omura, Y.
8 Nakamura, T.
9 Fok, M. C.
Identificador de Curriculo1
2
3
4
5 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDA
Grupo1
2
3
4
5 DIDAE-CGCEA-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 Kyoto University
2 Kyoto University
3 Los Alamos National Laboratory
4 Nagoya University
5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
6 Indian Institute of Geomagnetism
7 Kyoto University
8 National Institute of Polar Research
9 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 balannanan@gmail.com
2
3
4
5 inez.batista@inpe.br
RevistaJournal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics
Volume122
Número3
Páginas2824-2835
Histórico (UTC)2017-05-19 18:38:24 :: simone -> administrator ::
2017-05-19 18:38:24 :: administrator -> simone :: 2017
2017-05-19 18:40:01 :: simone -> administrator :: 2017
2018-06-04 02:27:28 :: administrator -> simone :: 2017
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Palavras-Chavesevere space weather
CME front
CME shock
B-z southward
impulsive action
ResumoA scheme is suggested and tested for forecasting severe space weather (SvSW) using solar wind velocity (V) and the north-south component (B-z) of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) measured using the ACE (Advanced Composition Explorer) satellite from 1998 to 2016. SvSW has caused all known electric power outages and telegraph system failures. Earlier SvSW events such as the Carrington event of 1859, Quebec event of 1989 and an event in 1958 are included with information from the literature. Dst storms are used as references to identify 89 major space weather events (DstMin <=-100 nT) in 1998-2016. The coincidence of high coronal mass ejection (CME) front (or CME shock) velocity Delta V (sudden increase in V over the background by over 275km/s) and sufficiently large B-z southward at the time of the Delta V increase is associated with SvSW; and their product (Delta VxB(z)) is found to exhibit a large negative spike at the speed increase. Such a product (Delta VxB(z)) exceeding a threshold seems suitable for forecasting SvSW. However, the coincidence of high V (not containing Delta V) and large B-z southward does not correspond to SvSW, indicating the importance of the impulsive action of large B-z southward and high Delta V coming through when they coincide. The need for the coincidence is verified using the CRCM (Comprehensive Ring Current Model), which produces extreme Dst storms (<Dst(MP)> < -250 nT) characterizing SvSW when there is coincidence. Plain Language Summary Severe space weather has been known to affect the society by damaging satellite systems and electric power grids. For example, a space weather of the type that occurred in September 1859, if occurs at present times, can cause very serious damages costing up to 1 to 2 trillion U.S. dollars. It is therefore important to study space weather and understand what determines the severity of space weather and whether it can be forecasted and predicted. In this paper we show that the coincidence of the speed of solar storms and southward orientation of the north-south component of the interplanetary magnetic field is responsible for severe space weather at the Earth, and it can be forecasted by 35 min using the data from a satellite that stays at 220 x radius of Earth away from the Earth.
ÁreaCEA
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
URL dos dadoshttp://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3NTH7EE
URL dos dados zipadoshttp://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3NTH7EE
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvobalan_scheme.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriossimone
Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
simone
Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentodenypublisher6 allowfinaldraft
Permissão de Leituraallow from all
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3ETL868
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/09.29.20.43 1
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.50.14 1
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; AGU; MGA; COMPENDEX.
Acervo Hospedeirosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
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